NC Media Watch

A quest for reason and accuracy in letters to the editor, guest editorials and other issues of interest to the citizens of Western Nevada County.

Tuesday, June 21, 2005

Population numbers are environmental hogwash

From the Union Front Page, via AP:
The counties most affected are Placer, El Dorado and Nevada, all within commuting distance of Sacramento. Placer County's population is expected to grow by 84 percent, El Dorado's by 42 percent and Nevada County's by 38 percent by 2020.
Before you get too scared about growth in Nevada County let’s look at the 38 percent number. Using the numbers provided in the SNA study, the average population increase from 1990 to 2000 was 13,520. About 1,350 new residents a year. To reach 38 percent growth by 2020, the yearly population increase would have to be 1,743, about 400 more than the 1990 to 2000 average. Now lets look at the population increase over the last 4 years, which averages 1,266 (2001-1796, 2002-1264, 2003-1006, 2004-1000).

Note the declining trend. The SNA does not give us a reason for adding 500 to 700 additional new residence a year from 2005 to 2020, when the trend is clearly in the opposite direction. What would drive this increase? I have agree with Supervisor Horne, the numbers in the SNA report are designed to scare the reader. If the Nevada County number are scary bunkum, what about the other counties numbers, are their numbers inflated also?

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